Thursday, May 13, 2010

David Dunning and Justin Kruger

For anyone who is interested in the Dunning-Kruger effect - you will want to read their paper "Unskilled and Unaware of It - How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments" - here. Joe Hockey might be interested.

I will pinch a few words from it to set the scene.

"In 1995, McArthur Wheeler walked into two Pittsburgh banks and robbed them in broad daylight, with no visible attempt at disguise. He was arrested later that night, less than an hour after videotapes of him taken from surveillance cameras were broadcast on the 11 o'clock news. When police later showed him the surveillance tapes, Mr. Wheeler stared in incredulity. “But I wore the juice,” he mumbled. Apparently, Mr. Wheeler was under the impression that rubbing one's face with lemon juice rendered it invisible to videotape cameras".

Hopefully, this will set the scene for Tony Abbott's budget reply which is scheduled for this evening. I hope he is wearing the juice.

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